Seasonal forecasting of African rainfall : prediction, responses and household food security
Africa ; Correlation ; Eastern Africa ; Food security ; Forecast ; Methodology ; Model ; Multivariate analysis ; Precipitation ; Resource management ; Sahel ; Seasonal variation ; South Africa ; Vulnerability
This paper reviews recent developments in both climate prediction and the use of climate forecasts with an emphasis on promoting household food security. The process of compiling and distributing seasonal forecasts is outlined. Components
of operational seasonal forecasts for Africa (Sahel, East Africa and southern Africa) are examined. The utility of climate forecasts is described against the background of household vulnerability and strategies to cope with food insecurity. Climate forecasts may
, but it characterizes the demand for climate information and indicates how new climate forecasts might be received. Based on ethnographic data, this paper describes traditional climate prediction methods of farmers in Tlaxcala, Mexico to illustrate the relevance
of local climate knowledge for seasonal forecasting.
Study on soil erosion dynamics in typical region of southern China based on remote sensing, GIS and gray forecast model
This paper studies soil erosion in the typical region of southern China based on remote sensing, GIS techniques and gray forecast model, and examines the relation between land-cover change and the dynamics of soil erosion.
Applied geomorphology ; Forecast ; Landslide ; Natural hazards ; New Zealand ; North Island ; Precipitation ; Soil water ; Urban area ; Water balance
A rainfall-based landslide-triggering model, developed from previous landslide episodes in Wellington City, New Zealand is tested for its ability to provide a 24-hour forecast of lanslide occurrence. Together with the daily rainfall input, the soil
Catastrophe ; China ; Flood ; Forecast ; Geographical information system ; Hydraulic works ; Jiangxi ; Lake ; Watershed
Watershed flood disaster management concerns monitoring and forecasting flood, assessing the flood damage and flood control and disaster reduction decision making in the scope of the whole watershed. Remote sensing and Geographical Information
Autoregressive process ; Forecast ; Industrial branch ; Industry ; Matrix analysis ; Minnesota ; Model ; Spatial analysis ; Time series ; United States of America