Scenarios of the future climate to Congo has support soft use MAGICC / SCENGEN (general circulation model - GCM). However, grids of this model have a resolution too great (5° of latitude x 5° of longitude), while studies of climate change impacts
and vulnerability of ecosystems necessitate a local parameter representation, therefore a finer grids. Variations of climatical parameters of representative stations have been determined from observations of the period of reference 1961 - 1990. Futures scenarios
Température et précipitations extrêmes sur la France dans un scénario de changement climatique
Impact of an anthropogenic climate change scenario on the frequency distribution of temperature and precipitation over France is studied with a numerical simulation calibrated with observed daily data from the synoptic network. - (BJ)
From a downscaling of a GCM, we have developed a climate scenario for Mali. The sensibility assessment of the rainfall and the temperature values has been done. It show that a wet period will be produced by an increasing of 10 % of the mean level
Past studies about the impacts of climate change in agriculture have mainly considered the possible effects of future climate scenarios for the end of the century. However, the last fifteen years have shown a significant increase of temperature
The study focuses on rainfall changes over South Africa as simulated from the ocean-atmosphere coupled general circulation model ARPEGE/OPA, under the IPCC B2 scenario. Simulations for 1970-1999 are compared with observed data in order to assess