Culturel ; Discours ; Développement durable ; Politique ; Scénario
Cultural studies ; Discourse ; Policy ; Scenario ; Sustainable development
On examine le discours scientifique sur la durabilité culturelle en analysant les significations diverses qui s'appliquent à ce concept dans des publications scientifiques. Ce discours est organisé autour de sept scénarios : héritage, vitalité
la durabilité culturelle peut se référer. Certains des scénarios établissent le quatrième pilier de la durabilité. Le scénario de la civilisation éco-culturelle suggère que la culture est une base nécessaire pour la transition vers une société
L'étude des conséquences potentielles du changement climatique sur la société exige des scénarios qui modélisent avec précision le climat futur. Les incertitudes sur les émissions futures de gaz à effet de serre, la vulnérabilité climatique à la
contrainte radiative et des limites à la simulation d'un système complexe gênent cet objectif. Cet article passe en revue la littérature décrivant les défis inhérents à la création de scénarios climatiques à partir de modèles de circulation générale; il
Vulnerability of natural ecosystem in China under regional climate scenarios : An analysis based on eco-geographical regions
Analyse régionale ; Années 1961-1990 ; Années 1991-2020 ; Années 2051-2080 ; Changement climatique ; Chine ; Dynamique de la végétation ; Ecosystème ; Précipitation ; Scénario ; Température ; Vulnérabilité
China ; Climatic change ; Ecosystem ; Precipitation ; Regional analysis ; Scenario ; Temperature ; Vegetation dynamics ; Vulnerability
In this study, based on eco-geographical regions, vulnerability of natural ecosystem to climate change was analyzed under 3 scenarios. Results suggest that vulnerability for China’s natural ecosystems would strengthen in the east and weaken
Biogéographie ; Charge solide ; Cours d'eau ; Etats-Unis ; Habitat ; Idaho ; Qualité de l'eau ; Sable ; Saumon ; Scénario ; Transport sédimentaire
Biogeography ; Habitat ; Idaho ; Salmon ; Sand ; Scenario ; Sediment load ; Sediment transport ; Stream ; United States of America ; Water quality
by applying a two-dimensional numerical model to a 1 km long reach of prime salmonid spawning habitat in central Idaho. Results show that in both supply scenarios, sand moves through the study reach as bed load, and that both the movement and depth of sand
with salmonid species and location of spawning. The AA. found that the greatest impacts occur closer to the location of the sand input under both supply scenarios. Results also suggest that reach-scale morphology may modulate the impact of sand loads.
Simulating the urban growth dimensions and scenario prediction through sleuth model : a case study of Rasht County, Guilan, Iran
parameters during the calibration mode indicates applicability of the model for forecasting of future urban growth mechanism until the year 2050. Accordingly, two growth scenarios were developed mainly with the aim of investigating the coefficients’ role
in controlling the nature of urban dynamics. Comparison between two forecasted scenarios indicates insignificant difference in total amount of the urban area, which denotes there is a threshold to urbanization and the current trend of urban growth could
Atmospheric circulation ; Climatic change ; Colorado ; Forest ; Forest fire ; Model ; Mountain ; New Mexico ; Rocky Mountains ; Scenario ; Soil erosion ; United States of America ; Wyoming
The AA. calculated rainfall erosivity for future climates using new temperature threshold in the Southern Rockies Ecoregion (SRE). They used RUSLE to calculate soil loss for 16 future climate and wildfire scenarios and compared future soil loss
to results from historic runs. Based on 100 simulations of future wildfire applied to RUSLE for each global circuation model scenario combination, they found that soil loss will likely increase above historic levels but that considerable uncertainty remains
Bathymetry ; Coastal dynamics ; Coastal environment ; Heavy minerals ; Hydrodynamics ; India ; Natural resources ; Numerical model ; Placer ; Scenario ; Sediment transport ; Simulation ; Tamil Nadu
An in-depth analysis has been made by integrating coastal ocean current-meter deployments and topographic signatures to simulate scenarios of transport and coastal circulation characteristics for understanding the nearshore sediment transport
Bassin-versant ; Damodar ; Débit de pointe ; Ecoulement ; Hydrologie ; Inde ; Inde de l'Est ; Modèle ; Scénario ; Utilisation du sol
Eastern India ; Hydrology ; India ; Land use ; Model ; Peak discharge ; Runoff ; Scenario ; Watershed
model was set up to simulate rainfall–runoff processes for two LULC scenarios three decades apart. The varying timing of flow convergence at different stream orders due to localised LULC changes makes it difficult to upscale the conventional land-use
Climate ; Climatic change ; Deforestation ; Ghana ; Learning process ; Participation ; Precipitation ; Rural community ; Scenario ; Social geography ; Tanzania
This article presents two linked methodological tools—an assessment of drivers of change and participatory scenario building—used in a climate change adaptation project in Ghana and Tanzania (ALCCAR). It discusses opportunities and challenges
Amérique du Nord ; Bassin-versant ; British Columbia ; Canada ; Changement climatique ; Cours d'eau ; Ecosystème ; Etats-Unis ; Habitat ; Montagne ; Poisson ; Proglaciaire ; Recul du glacier ; Scénario ; Végétation ripicole ; Washington
British Columbia ; Canada ; Climatic change ; Ecosystem ; Fish ; Glacier retreat ; Habitat ; Mountain ; North America ; Proglacial features ; Riparian vegetation ; Scenario ; Stream ; United States of America ; Washington ; Watershed
thermally suitable for cold-water fish. A future scenario of glacier loss would cause a 14% decline in accessible cold-water thermal habitat in post-LIA streams. Decreased summer flows due to glacier retreat could further limit usable habitat by reducing
Accident de la route ; Changement climatique ; Climat urbain ; England ; Impact ; Infrastructure ; Royaume-Uni ; Réseau de transports ; Résilience ; Scénario ; Trafic urbain ; Transport ; Type de temps ; Vulnérabilité
Climatic change ; England ; Impact ; Infrastructure ; Resilience ; Road accident ; Scenario ; Transport ; Transport network ; United Kingdom ; Urban climate ; Urban traffic ; Vulnerability ; Weather type
The impacts of climate change on streamflow are investigated in this study. The ensemble of outputs from three different Global Circulation Models models: GISS, CCCM, GFDL developed for the emission scenario A1B were analyzed to infer projected
changes in climatological conditions for the region of the Upper and Middle Odra basin. Obtaining hydrological scenarios of future changes for the scale of subcatchment required simulating short-term and fine scaled weather patterns for this area
-geological conditions at Lake Ammersee have not yet been finally clarified, they created simulation scenarios for the hydrodynamic modeling with various characteristics of sub-terrestrial inflow. Analysis of the simulation results for each scenario revealed
) where a flood event with a high degree of LWM transport took place in 1997. A two-dimensional numerical model was developed to simulate the transport of LWM and its effect on hydrodynamics. Different scenarios for the wood transport rate allowed to study
the influence of inlet boundary conditions on bridge clogging. The scenario which best reproduced the bridge clogging effect and flood characteristics was one in which 60% of the total wood entered before the peak discharge. This dropped to 30% at the peak
by the brief summary of the post-socialist transition's general characteristics. Subsequently, the specificities of the urban structure of socialist and post-socialist cities are subsumed, and finally, different scenarios and development perspectives for post
University in the recent years, important regional/local conditions could be taken into account during the modelling process. In the experiments of PRECIS, three different emission scenarios (A2, A1B, B2) are considered to provide estimations for the 21st