In this paper, the AA expose what they already know of the characteristics of the probability density function of climate change from coordinated climate modelling initiatives and what probabilistic statements can be derived from the quantification
in the light of uncertainty. The third problem is dedicated to so-called probabilistic climate predictions in the form of overshooting and undershooting probabilities given various thresholds of climate change. Overall, probabilistic assessments in climate
, growth of information and knowledge-based society. The picture of Poland’s rural areas in about forty years probably will not witness any radical changes but a thesis could be formed here, that it will be more diverse, more active and more attractive
. Probably, two basic types of rural areas will form urban villages in the vicinity of towns and further away, traditional villages shall remain. – (BJ)
of the microstructure of soil surface, of the particle shape and of positions in the bed, the threshold friction velocity is random. Based on the probability theory of multi-dimension random variable, the probability of the threshold friction velocity, its mean value
Landslide area probability density function statistics to assess historical landslide magnitude and frequency in coastal California
Landslide area probability density function (PDF) statistics elucidate the landslide magnitude–frequency distribution in a small coastal watershed in central California. Detailed mapping into a GIS and compilation of 2 slide inventories in Walker
Spatial and temporal variations of water repellency and probability of its occurrence in calcareous Mediterranean rangeland soils affected by fires
conditions, examining its spatial variability at macro-, meso- and micro-scales, and monthly changes with soil moisture content; and b) develops exploratory models to estimate the probability of the natural background (not fire-induced) WR to occur through
Climate ; Climatic hazard ; Ireland ; Model ; Monte Carlo analysis ; Precipitation ; Probability ; Scenario ; Statistical analysis ; Temperature ; Uncertainty
, that of temperature and precipitation. This technique allows for the rapid development of climate scenarios for additional emissions scenarios not previously available from the GCM modelling centres. On the basis of the Monte Carlo approach, probability distribution
to his or her destination with a given on-time arrival probability. Then, a case study using real-world traffic information in Wuhan, China, is carried out to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed prism model. The results indicate
that the proposed prism model can represent well individuals’ space–time taking into account various on-time arrival probability concerns.
This paper looks at the impacts across European countries of homeownership and transaction costs on job tenure. The results indicate that homeownership reduces job mobility as well as the probability of becoming unemployed or economically inactive
costs on the housing market are positively associated with the probability of becoming unemployed.
Analyse d'impact des probables changements climatiques sur l’écoulement des cours d’eau du bassin-versant de la Dvina septentrionale au XXIe siècle
Présentation de la méthode d’analyse des probables changements de l’écoulement fluvial conditionnés par la modification des caractéristiques climatiques. Cette méthode est basée sur les modèles de la circulation générale de l’atmosphère et de
The AA. present research on the dynamics and probable causes of the above-average 2011 activation of the central landslide at Dobrzyń-on-the-Vistula, which has been developing within the shore zone of the Włocławek Reservoir – against the background
sont douteuses. Depuis 1947, le centre des États-Unis est devenu plus humide, alors que les autres régions se sont plutôt asséchées. Le rôle de l'urbanisation n'est pas contesté, mais jugé probablement faible en regard des modifications introduites à
among Latin American citizens, and (2) how this distrust increased the probability that populist leaders would emerge, as a way to reduce the principal-agent problem via symbolic accountability. The analysis shows that, in the beginning, populist
and communication technologies. The first two are probably linked, as households have responded to decreasing real income over the last quarter-century through greater female labor force participation and maintaining current levels of consumption by borrowing ever
Massachusetts ; Model ; Population density ; Population distribution ; Probability ; Spatial analysis ; Spatial distribution ; United States of America
. It identifies the significant factors raising or depressing the probability of being categorised as digitally excluded including, gender, income, education, dis-ability, tenure, working status, the presence of young people in the household and city neighbourhood
on the development of coastal areas. It is probable that trends of Middle Pomerania’s rural areas development outlined at the beginning of the twenty-first century will be continued in the future. – (BJ)
assumptions : (1) no silver bullet – not assumed of incremental advances in technology, (2) no World War III, (3) no hidden genies – e.g. no killer disease pandemic, a meteorite impact and other accidents with low probability of occurrence, (4) the global