Developing a predictive modelling capacity for a climate change vulnerable blanket bog habitat : assessing 1961–1990 baseline relationships

Climate change : positioning Ireland, positioning geography

Auteur(s) et Affiliation(s)

COLL, J.

Department of Geography, NUI Maynooth, Maynooth, Irlande

BOURKE, D.

Applied Ecology Unit, Centre for Environmental Science, NUI Galway, Galway, Irlande

SHEEHY SKEFFINGTON, M.

Department of Botany, NUI Galway, Galway, Galway, Irlande

SWEENEY, J.

Department of Geography, NUI Maynooth, Maynooth, Irlande

GORMALLY, M.

Applied Ecology Unit, Centre for Environmental Science, NUI Galway, Galway, Irlande

Description :
The aim of this study is to model and elucidate the contributions of climate and topography to the distribution of a priority blanket bog habitat in Ireland, and to examine howt his might inform the development of a climate change predictive capacity for peat-lands in Ireland. The results confirm that this habitat distribution in general can be modelled well using the non-collinear climatic and terrain variables tested at the grid resolution used. Mapping the GLM-predicted distribution to the observed distribution produced useful results in replicating the projected occurrence of the habitat distribution over an extensive area. The methods developed will usefully inform future climate change predictive modelling for Ireland.

Type de document :
Article de monographie

Source :
Irish geography (Online), issn : 1939-4055, 2011, vol. 44, n°. 1, p. 1-36, nombre de pages : 36, Références bibliographiques : 8 p.

Date :
2011

Identifiants :
eurl : http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00750778.2011.615165, doi : http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00750778.2011.615165

Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, Abingdon, Taylor and Francis

Langue :
Anglais