The impact of climate change on urban transport resilience in a changing world

Applied meteorology and climatology

Auteur(s) et Affiliation(s)



Description :
This paper investigates the current state of the art for assessments on urban surface transport, where rising populations and increasing dependence on efficient and reliable mobility have increased the importance placed on resilience to weather. The standard structure of climate change impact assessment (CIA) requires understanding in 3 important areas : how weather currently affects infrastructure and operations; how climate change may alter the frequency and magnitude of these impacts; and how concurrent technological and socio-economic development may shape the transport network of the future, either ameliorating or exacerbating the effects of climate change. This paper traces a number of developments in the extrapolation of physical and behavioural relationships on to future climates, including a broad move away from previous deterministic methods and towards probabilistic projections which make use of a much broader range of climate change model output, giving a better representation of the uncertainty involved.


Type de document :
Article de monographie

Source :
Progress in physical geography, issn : 0309-1333, 2014, vol. 38, n°. 4, p. 448-463, nombre de pages : 16, Références bibliographiques : 4 p.

Date :
2014

Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, London, Sage Publications