Mots-clés
Accident de la route Changement climatique Climat urbain England Impact Infrastructure Royaume-Uni Réseau de transports Résilience Scénario Trafic urbain Transport Type de temps Vulnérabilité Climatic change England Impact Infrastructure Resilience Road accident Scenario Transport Transport network United Kingdom Urban climate Urban traffic Vulnerability Weather type Accidente de carretera Cambio climático Clima urbano Escenario Impacto Infraestructura Inglaterra Red de transportes Reino Unido Resiliencia Tipo de tiempo Transporte Tráfico urbano VulnerabilidadThe impact of climate change on urban transport resilience in a changing world
Applied meteorology and climatology
Auteur(s) et Affiliation(s)
JAROSZWESKI, D.
Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, Royaume-Uni
HOOPER, E.
Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, Royaume-Uni
CHAPMAN, L.
Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, Royaume-Uni
THORNES, J.E.
Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, Royaume-Uni
RANDALLS, S.
Univ. College, London, Royaume-Uni
Description :
This paper investigates the current state of the art for assessments on urban surface transport, where rising populations and increasing dependence on efficient and reliable mobility have increased the importance placed on resilience to weather. The standard structure of climate change impact assessment (CIA) requires understanding in 3 important areas : how weather currently affects infrastructure and operations; how climate change may alter the frequency and magnitude of these impacts; and how concurrent technological and socio-economic development may shape the transport network of the future, either ameliorating or exacerbating the effects of climate change. This paper traces a number of developments in the extrapolation of physical and behavioural relationships on to future climates, including a broad move away from previous deterministic methods and towards probabilistic projections which make use of a much broader range of climate change model output, giving a better representation of the uncertainty involved.
Type de document :
Article de monographie
Source :
Progress in physical geography, issn : 0309-1333, 2014, vol. 38, n°. 4, p. 448-463, nombre de pages : 16, Références bibliographiques : 4 p.
Date :
2014
Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, London, Sage Publications
Langue :
Anglais
Anglais
Droits :
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)