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Prospects for the open treatment of uncertainty in environmental research

Auteur(s) et Affiliation(s)

BROWN, J.D.
NOAA/National Weather Service and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Etats-Unis


Description :
This paper argues for more open treatments of uncertainty in environmental research. Such openness requires an appreciation of the social and psychological causes of uncertainty, the role of observations as imperfect and contingent expressions of visible events, and the myriad ways in which scientific information can be misinterpreted, misused, or sidelined in environmental decision-making. The paper begins with a discussion of the nature and causes of uncertainty in environmental research. A review of current treatments of uncertainty is followed by an analysis of the source-based approach to assessing uncertainty. Prospects for the open treatment of uncertainty are then discussed in terms of circumventing the three ‘myths of uncertainty’ that characterize recent work in environmental research.


Type de document :
Article de périodique

Source :
Progress in physical geography, issn : 0309-1333, 2010, vol. 34, n°. 1, p. 75-100, nombre de pages : 26, Références bibliographiques : 5,5 p.

Date :
2010

Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, London, Sage Publications

Langue :
Anglais
Droits :
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