Mots-clés
Environnement Modèle Prévision Recherche Risque Situation d'incertitude Stratégie d'acteurs Traitement des données Data processing Decision making process Environment Forecast Model Research Risk Uncertainty Estrategia de actores Investigación Medio ambiente Modelo Previsión Riesgo Situación de incertitud Tratamiento de datosProspects for the open treatment of uncertainty in environmental research
Auteur(s) et Affiliation(s)
BROWN, J.D.
NOAA/National Weather Service and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Etats-Unis
Description :
This paper argues for more open treatments of uncertainty in environmental research. Such openness requires an appreciation of the social and psychological causes of uncertainty, the role of observations as imperfect and contingent expressions of visible events, and the myriad ways in which scientific information can be misinterpreted, misused, or sidelined in environmental decision-making. The paper begins with a discussion of the nature and causes of uncertainty in environmental research. A review of current treatments of uncertainty is followed by an analysis of the source-based approach to assessing uncertainty. Prospects for the open treatment of uncertainty are then discussed in terms of circumventing the three ‘myths of uncertainty’ that characterize recent work in environmental research.
Type de document :
Article de périodique
Source :
Progress in physical geography, issn : 0309-1333, 2010, vol. 34, n°. 1, p. 75-100, nombre de pages : 26, Références bibliographiques : 5,5 p.
Date :
2010
Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, London, Sage Publications
Langue :
Anglais
Anglais
Droits :
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)