A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I : understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system

Auteur(s) et Affiliation(s)

GOOD, P.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

CAESAR, J.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

BERNIE, D.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

LOWE, J.A.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

VAN DER LINDEN, P.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

GOSLING, S.N.

Univ., Nottingham, Royaume-Uni

WARREN, R.

Univ. East Anglia, Royaume-Uni

ARNELL, N.W.

Univ., Reading, Royaume-Uni

SMITH, S.

Committee on Climate Change, London, Royaume-Uni

BAMBER, J.

Univ., Bristol, Royaume-Uni

PAYNE, T.

Univ., Bristol, Royaume-Uni

LAXON, S.

Univ. College, London, Royaume-Uni

SROKOSZ, M.

National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, Royaume-Uni

SITCH, S.

Univ., Leeds, Royaume-Uni

GEDNEY, N.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

HARRIS, G.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

HEWITT, H.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

JACKSON, L.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

JONES, C.D.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

O'CONNOR, F.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

RIDLEY, J.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

VELLINGA, M.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

HALLORAN, P.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

MCNEALL, D.

Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni

Description :
This article reviews some of the major lines of recent scientific progress relevant to the choice of global climate policy targets, focusing on changes in understanding since publication of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4). Developments are highlighted in the following major climate system components: ice sheets; sea ice; the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation; tropical forests; and accelerated carbon release from permafrost and ocean hydrates. The most significant developments in each component are identified by synthesizing input from multiple experts from each field. Overall, while large uncertainties remain in all fields, some substantial progress in understanding is revealed.

Type de document :
Article de périodique

Source :
Progress in physical geography, issn : 0309-1333, 2011, vol. 35, n°. 3, p. 281-296, nombre de pages : 16, Références bibliographiques : 4 p.

Date :
2011

Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, London, Sage Publications

Langue :
Anglais