Mots-clés
Bibliographie ; Biodiversité ; Changement climatique ; Changement global ; Gestion de l'environnement ; Impact ; Modèle ; Niveau marin ; Relation homme-environnement ; Ressource en eau ; Santé ; Situation d'incertitude ; Stratégie d'acteurs ; Sécurité alimentaireBibliography ; Biodiversity ; Climatic change ; Decision making process ; Environmental management ; Food security ; Global change ; Health ; Impact ; Man-environment relations ; Model ; Sea level ; Uncertainty ; Water resourcesBibliografía ; Biodiversidad ; Cambio climático ; Cambio global ; Estrategia de actores ; Gestión del medio ambiente ; Impacto ; Modelo ; Nivel del mar ; Recursos en agua ; Relación hombre-medio ambiente ; Salud ; Seguridad alimentaria ; Situación de incertitudA review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II : The global-scale impacts of climate change
Auteur(s) et Affiliation(s)
GOSLING, S.N.
School of Geography, Univ., Nottingham, Royaume-Uni
WARREN, R.
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change research and School of Environmental Sciences, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, Royaume-Uni
ARNELL, N.W.
Walker Inst., Univ., Reading, Royaume-Uni
GOOD, P.
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni
CAESAR, J.
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni
BERNIE, D.
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni
LOWE, J.A.
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni
VAN DER LINDEN, P.
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Royaume-Uni
O'HANLEY, J.R.
Kent Business School, Univ., Canterbury, Royaume-Uni
SMITH, S.M.
Committee on Climate Change, London, Royaume-Uni
Description :
This paper reviews recent developments in studies assessing the global-scale impacts of climate change published since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Literature covering 6 main impact sectors is reviewed: sea-level rise (SLR) and coastal impacts, ocean acidification, ecosystems and biodiversity, water resources and desertification, agriculture and food security, and human health. The AA. highlight 3 major emerging themes: (1) a movement towards probabilistic methods of impacts assessment and/or the consideration of climate modelling uncertainty; (2) a move towards assessing potential impacts that could be avoided under different climate change mitigation scenarios relative to a business-as-usual reference scenario; and (3) uncertainties that remain in understanding the relationship between climate and natural or human systems.
Type de document :
Article de périodique
Source :
Progress in physical geography, issn : 0309-1333, 2011, vol. 35, n°. 4, p. 443-464, nombre de pages : 22, Références bibliographiques : 6,5 p.
Date :
2011
Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, London, Sage Publications
Langue :
Anglais
Anglais
Droits :
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)