Mots-clés
Changement climatique ; Coulée de débris ; Crue ; England ; Interaction océan-atmosphère ; Lichénométrie ; Phénomène exceptionnel ; Prévision ; Risque naturel ; Royaume-Uni ; Siècle 18 ; Siècle 19 ; Siècle 20 ; Variabilité climatiqueClimatic change ; Climatic variability ; Debris flow ; Eighteenth Century ; England ; Exceptional event ; Flood ; Forecast ; Lichenometry ; Natural hazards ; Nineteenth Century ; Ocean atmosphere interaction ; Twentieth Century ; United KingdomChanging climate and extreme floods in the British uplands
Auteurs :MACKLIN, M.G.
RUMSBY, B.T.
Description :
The AA. compare and evaluate all lichen-dated flood deposits from UK upland river basins in order to assess changing flood risk over the last 250 years. The analysis indicates that the incidence and size of exterme events have markedly decreased over the last 50 years, and may be at their lowest level since AD 1750. Occurrence of extreme upland floods over the last 200-300 years appears to be associated with negative North Atlantic Oscillation index values and significant non-stationarity evident in the historical floods series is shown to relate to decadal and multi-decadal scale climatic fluctuations.
Type de document :
Article de périodique
Source :
Transactions - Institute of British Geographers (1965), issn : 0020-2754, 2007, vol. 32, n°. 2, p. 168-186, nombre de pages : 19, Collation : Illustration, Références bibliographiques : 46 ref.
Date :
2007
Editeur :
Pays édition : Royaume-Uni, London, Institute of British Geographers
Langue :
Anglais
Anglais
Droits :
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)
Tous droits réservés © Prodig - Bibliographie Géographique Internationale (BGI)