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Bursts of aftershocks, long-term precursors of strong earthquakes

Auteurs :
KEILIS-BOROK, V. I.
KNOPOFF, L.
ROTVAIN, I. M.

Description :
Earthquakes that are followed within a short time by abnormally large numbers of aftershocks are hypothesised to be long-term precursors of strongers earthquakes. In a test of the hypothesis, 18 out of 23 strong earthquakes, in five regions worldwide, were predicted retrospectively. In comparison with a random model the precursory pattern occurs at a satisfactorily high confidence level.


Type de document :
Article de périodique

Source :
Nature London, 1980, vol. 283, n°. 5744, p. 259-263, Références bibliographiques : 15 réf.

Date :
1980

Langue :
Anglais
Droits :
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